Friday, April 29, 2016

Project Manhattan Session #14 - Screw You Guys, I'm Going Home

Last Friday my older son had a baseball game that ended around 7:30 so instead of rolling in to the Oaks right after work as per usual, I got there around 8:00 planning to burn the midnight oil.

I slapped five C-notes on the table and took my first hand in the big blind. 4 people called $5 and I looked down at JJ. With what was almost certainly the best hand I made it $30 to go and got 2 callers - both of whom were not players I knew. The flop came down 6 6 7 with two hearts. One of my callers was in the small blind and he checked. I bet out $65 into the $100 pot and the lady across the table called. Then the small blind cut out $210 and pushed it into the pot!

This was a tricky situation. Did this guy have a 6? If so I was totally cooked. And what about the lady? What did I think she was calling with? Could she have a 6? Was she calling with a 7 or a draw or a hand like 88 or bare overs? Luckily she was obviously pissed about the raise and I figured she was done with the hand.

That just left the raiser. Was he the kind of player who would call $30 preflop with A6 or 56 or 67 out of position in the small blind - something probably only a losing player would do. If so I should fold. Or was he the kind of player that would check raise a draw - something probably only a strong player would do. If so I should move all in. I'd literally only played half a hand with this guy and I had to sort this out. But luckily, the way that physically he cut out $210 was indicative of a strong player and also the fact that it was $210 and not $200 (better players are more precise with their bets, weak player bet in round numbers) was a huge indicator.

It might sound like I was fairly sure here that he was a good player and that meant he could not have a 6 and was very likely to push a draw, but it's one thing to think this though and another to put $500 out there and potentially lose $500 on the first hand! Luckily I was right. I moved all in and they both quickly folded with the small blind saying he'd folded a draw.

For the next hour I dribbled away much of my profit from that hand and found myself feeling tired in a shitty game. I decided to bail.

I won $110 over 1 hour and that means I'm $1720 to the good after 56.5 hours of play.

Monday, April 18, 2016

Project Manhattan Session #13B - The Tournament

After playing for 3 hours and booking a $487 win playing $2/$3/$5 on Wednesday I decided to play the weekly $185 Wednesday night tournament.

I'll always have a fondness for the Wednesday night tournament at the Oaks. When I was 22 and my biggest win to date was a $350 win at $6/$12 I played the Wednesday night tournament (which was at that point a $60 buy in with one $50 rebuy limit hold'em tournament) for the first time. I'd come in to play $6/$12 and after a hot hour was up $185 at the time the tournament was about to start. My total tournament experience at the time was 3 or 4 shots at a $10 tournament with 7 minute levels at Cache Creek (Ten dollar buy in! Seven minute levels!) where I never sniffed the money and one $20 with two rebuys piece of garbage at Casino San Pablo where I finished 30th of 30th. After what was probably a miracle run of cards I made it to the top 3 and we made a deal where my end was about $1,000. I'd cashed my paycheck that day and I remember riding home with $2,500 in my pocket and thinking how it was ridiculous to have that much money on me driving in a car that was worth no more than $1,000.

I had 11 times in my poker career where I won $10K+ in one day, 4 of those were $30K+ and one of those was $85K, but I'm not sure I was ever as excited with any of those as the first time I broke $1,000.

Fast forward 14 years and something like 5,000 multi-table tournaments of experience and I sat down as a 36 year old with 10,000 chips in front of me with blinds at 25/50 and 20 minute levels. When the action started only 3 of us where at the table and we spent a shockingly long amount of time (10 or 15 minutes) playing 3 handed before the table gradually filled in. I made two sets of jacks during this stretch and made no money. Grrrr!

My first big hand came in the 2nd level with blinds at 50/100. A few players called 100, I made it 450 to go out of the big blind with AK of diamonds and we took the flop 4 way. The flop came down T 7 3 all diamonds! Holy shit! I checked hoping someone would fire at it. Sure enough a guy who I knew to be a total nut from the cash games bet 3,000 into the 1,800 pot. Then the small blind moved all in for 11,000! I stalled a bit as if I was unsure, but eventually called, Mr. Nut folded and I beat the small blind who had flopped two pair with T3.

I was up to 26,000 at that point and in great shape. After 4 levels I had 23,000 at the first break, registration closed and I saw we ended up with 70 entrants.

With the blinds at 300/600 with a 50 ante I had two interesting hands back to back. On the first I called an all in to 3,750 with 99 and a guy who looked like he was in his 60's called behind me. At this stage of the tournament you'd normally expect either a raise or a fold, but I was quickly getting the sense that a large number of the players in this tournament were a bunch of loose passive soft spots who would just call in some situations where it was just flat wrong to do so. An ace flopped and Mr. 60's won that one.

On the very next hand I got AA and someone moved all in for 4,500. Hoping to get a repeat of the action from the previous hand I just called. Sure enough Mr. 60's called behind me. And then BOTH blinds called too! These guys love to call! We were 5 way going to the flop with more than two starting stacks already in the pot. The flop came down A T 4 with two spades! Top set baby! Send that pot to me man! The small blind moved all in for 5,800, the big blind folded, the all in was still all in, I made it 12,000 to go and Mr. 60's folded. When the hands got turned up the all in had JT of spades and the small blind had TT (flopped a set and was drawing totally dead!). The turn was a red 6 and the river was a red 8 and I took down a huge pot.

At the second break I had 49K chips with 30 players left, needing to make the top 10 to make the money.

The next big hand came with blinds at 500/1,000 with a 100 ante. The under the gun player just called the 1K with about a 30K stack, it folded over to me in the cutoff and I raised it to 4K with AQ of hearts. He called and the flop came down K J 4 with two hearts (and one spade) giving me 12 outs to the nuts. He checked to me and I bet biggish - 7K into the roughly 10K pot. He called without thinking at all. The turn was the 8 of spades, and my opponent checked again. I didn't like how quickly he called the flop, but he had a little less than 20K and there was 24K in the pot so I could put him all in without it being much of an overbet. Even if he called off a substantial stack, and I missed, I'd still have chips left. I decided to go for it. I moved all in, he quickly called and I thought "Well, I guess I have to hit it." But then he showed his hand - the QT of spades! I looked at this hand and the board and back a few times in rapid succession to confirm that he was in fact drawing. I was 70.5% to win and happily the river came out a 3 of hearts.

From there I cruised to the money guaranteeing myself at least a $315 payout. When the final table started an average stack was 70K and I had about 75K.

On the very first hand of the final table, with blinds at 800/1,600 and a 200 ante, the under the gun player made it 6K to go. 4 players called before it got back to me in the small blind. I looked down at 99. What a strange spot! Of the 5 players involved thus far 3 had me covered including the original raiser, but I strongly considered moving all in hoping to scoop up the roughly 34K in the pot without a fight. I decided I should be a little more tactical and just called. The big blind came along and we saw the flop 7 way! WTF! I'm almost positive I've never played a 7 way pot for a raise at a final table.

The flop came down T 8 7 with two diamonds giving me very possibly the best hand and a straight draw as back up. What do I do now? Do I just fire it in against 6 opponents? I decided to check. The big blind who was next to act moved all in for 30K and was quickly followed into the pot by the first caller of the preflop raise who shoved for 40K. If this was a cash game I probably would have called here. Getting a little better than 2.5 to 1 when I'm around 2 to 1 to make a straight with the added small chance that my pair might be good against something like two flush draws or that the two remaining 9's might be clean outs. But I decided to be conservative and pitched it. The big blind had T 4 (Ten four!) and the first caller had JJ. It turns out that if I'd shoved preflop or on the flop I would have smashed face first into those pocket jacks so check folding the flop was optimal.

The 10th place player collected his $315 and the 9th place finisher got the same.

The 8th place player followed him soon after collecting $410 and then 7th place got $510, and 6th got $620.

Meanwhile I was just sitting there getting garbage and getting blinded off. I did put in a raise with AT suited at one point and got 4 callers! These guys love to call! Normally a big part of my final table strategy is running over scared players, but there was no chance of that working with this crowd.

Playing 5 handed I finally got a real hand. With blinds at 2K/4K the under the gun player made it 12K to go and I shoved for 55K with TT. After some thought he made a thin call with KQ. Luckily the board ran out 6 5 4 2 A and I took it down. Mr. KQ was the next to go collecting $730.

I started 4 handed play with 96K of the 700K chips in play and we played 4 handed for close to an hour! Of the last three opponents one was weak tight, one was an inexperienced loose cannon, and the third is an Oaks regular who is a solid player and knows what he's doing.

At this point I was feeling tired. I'd been at the Oaks since around 2:30, the tournament started at 6:15 and we started 4 handed play around 11:20. I don't know if it's that I'm older now (To paraphrase Shaquille O'Neil - 36 ain't 26 bro.) or just that I'm not used to playing for 9 or 10 hours anymore, but I did not feel sharp.

On the first hand of consequence 4 handed, I made it 16K to go with blinds of 3K/6K with black AQ, I got called by Mr. Regular out of the big blind, and the flop came down KK5 with two hearts. He checked and I checked it back (this was questionable). The turn was a really interesting card - the A of hearts. Mr. Regular bet out 20K and I kind of figured he was on an ace, a big heart or total air with the big heart being the most likely. I decided to put on the pressure and went all in for 75K. He looked pained and took a long time before eventually calling. To my shock and horror he turned over K7 for three kings! I stood up to leave, but then an ace came on the end! ZING!

Then nothing I did seemed to work out for about 15-20 minutes and I dribbled back down from a peak of 200K down to 100K. It was very frustrating.

Eventually I ended up with KK on the button and made it 20K to go. Mr. Regular called me out of the big blind and the flop came down K Q 6 with two hearts. Top set baby! He checked to me and I bet an amount that I hoped said "I missed here, but I don't want to just check" - 15K. He hemmed and hawed and then raised to 40K. I quickly shoved and he practically beat me into the pot. I figured I'd be fading a draw, but to my delight he showed 66! He'd flopped a lower set! As the kids say it was so sick.

I had my chance to bust Mr. regular a few hands later. I was back on the button with AJ and made it 20K again. He moved all in for 70K and I quickly called him. This time he had QQ and it held up. Drat!

While all this was happening, Mr. Loose kept doing stupid shit all over the place and the other too dumb shits would never call him! He kept flashing me bluff after bluff while telling the other guys about how he hadn't bluffed all tournament and it was as if they were believing every word. He literally talked them out of calling multiple times after his money was all in the pot. They were folding good hands in spots where I felt like they should have been calling with almost any two. I couldn't believe that with only 58 big blinds in play among the 4 of us at the 6K/12K blind level, that no one went broke.

Eventually with blinds of 8K/16K, Mr. regular raised to 32K, I moved all in for around 80K with 88 and he called me with TT. There were no miracles this time and I was out in 8th.

I got paid $840 for 4th (3rd was $1,250, 2nd was $1,950, and first was $3,200 - SHIT! So close!) which was a net profit of $655.

After 55.5 hours I'm ahead $1,610 for the project.

Friday, April 15, 2016

Project Manhattan Session #13A - The Cash Game

I made a rare Wednesday afternoon trip to the Oaks this week and as I pulled in to the parking lot around 2:30 I was shocked to find almost every spot full. I'd gotten a call from a friend/backer/poker player who had just read my previous post and suggested that it would be dead the Oaks because of the Warriors game (the final record breaking game of the season) and I was surprised to find out he was SO SO SO SO SO WRONG! You know who you are Mr. Wrong.

On the way in I saw the previously mentioned Matt Lessinger on the way out who suggested that the Warriors game would have the opposite effect and that the game would actually bring people to the Oaks to watch while they played.

Actually they were both right. It was atypically busy from 3-6:30, but then at 6:30 BOOM! A bunch of games broke as people headed home to watch the game.

By 2:45 I was in a $2/$3/$5 game and I got off to a good start. After 3 players called $5 I raised with QQ to $30 on the button. All three called and the flop came down 6 4 3 all spades. About 90% of the time I remember to check and recheck the suits of my cards before the flop when they are off suit (if they're suited I'm sure what they are close to 99% of the time without looking back when the flop comes out), but this was one of those times when I'd lost track of if I had a spade.

Looking back is usually an indication that you do not have a made flush as most other people also are way more likely to know what suits they have if they're suited. In fact I like to look back as a bit of acting when I do have a made flush specifically to convince my opponents that I don't have it yet.

Either way, the hand was worth betting. My 3 opponents checked to me, I bet out $70 and got one caller who only had about $95 left. The turn was the T of diamonds. He checked, I put him all in, he called, the river was a red K, I showed, he mucked, bada-bing, bada-boom, I'm up $250.

There were two games going and the one I was in was the worse of the two so even though I was winning, about 30 minutes in I moved to the other table.

There was a guy there who I know I've mentioned at least once before, but I can't remember what I called him. He's a regular player and is a steady loser in the game. He always has a big roll of bills that is part small bills and part hundreds. When I say big it's like he has three packs of cigarettes in one pocket. He also has two phones - a top notch smart phone and a bottom of the line flip phone. I'll let you draw your own conclusions about what he might do for a living.

About an hour after I switched games Mr. Two Phones made it $20, I called in the small blind with 87 of clubs and we took the flop 4 way. The flop came out 9 8 6 with two spades giving me middle pair and an open ender. I checked, Mr. Two Phones bet $30, one other player called and it was back to me. Mr. two phones had about $230 left and the other guy had $300 or so. Thinking I might have the best hand and with a ton of outs to improve I considered just shoving it all in, but with only $140 out there, a raise to $300 was a little excessive. I made it $110 thinking there was a chance I'd lose them both even with that bet size, but to my surprise they both called. The turn was a 4 which was great if I was already ahead against other draws and terrible if I was behind. I decided to go for it and moved all in. Mr. Two Phones quickly called for $150, the other guy folded and I was hoping for a T on the river. Sadly the river was a red K. Happily, I rolled over my hand and it was good! Zing!

In my last hour I had one other big hand. I three bet a guy who seemed to be on tilt from $25 to $65 with JJ out of the small blind and got called. The flop was A J 5 (with two clubs)! Whoa baby! If this guy had an ace I was likely to get paid off and I was 99% sure to have the best hand. I bet out on the small side pushing $65 into the pot. He quickly called. The turn was a 4. I considered checking, but decided I'd make more against a ace by betting half pot all the way through and hoping to get called down rather than check raising the turn or check calling the turn and betting the river. I pushed $125 out there and my opponent quickly folded. Drat!

After 3 hours of play I was up $487 and racked up my chips. It was about 5:45 and at 6:15 the $185 Wednesday night tournament was starting. I bought in, walked over to 7-11 and got myself a snack, checked my email on my phone, and just spaced out for a bit.

I'll post about how the tournament went in my next post which will be up soon.

With that $487 win I'm ahead $955 for the project after 49.5 hours. Half way home!

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Project Manhattan Session #12 - Why Don't I Just Go Ahead and Make All the Draws

After my three week break I was not feeling all that sharp headed in to play on Friday, but I was ready for some good shit to happen to me for a change. The theme of the night was a I made a lot of strong hands and with some of them I feel like I may have left some money on the table.

On my 5th or 6th hand I got dealt 63 off suit in the big blind and got a free look 5 way. The flop came down Q 5 4 giving me an open ender. I bet out $15 into the $19 ($6 goes to the rake) pot and got one caller. The turn was a bingo card - a 7! I bet out $30 into the $49 pot and got called again. The river was another great card - a Q. It was certainly possible that my opponent had a Q and if so he had trips so there was no way he was folding. If he had anything else he was almost certainly going to muck for even a small bet. So I decided to bet big. I fired out $100 and he quickly folded. Drat!

What left me thinking here a little was that if he had a Q he would have certainly bet if I checked, giving me the chance to check raise. And if he had a missed draw or something else I would have liked to have given him a chance to take a shot at the pot. Maybe he would have just checked back and I'd be left wondering why I didn't bet the river, but at the end of the day I thinking trying to induce a bluff was the right play here and I missed it.

On the very next hand I got dealt 22 in the small blind and called a raise from the button. We took the flop 3 ways along with a limper for $25 each and the board came out K 9 2 with 2 hearts. Bottom set baby! We both checked to the button who bet $50. I raised it to $140 hoping to get called by a K or a draw on a draw heavy board, but instead I lost both opponents. I think raising is right here, but was again left with the feeling that maybe I could have made more with a different line.

I had another hand where I flopped top pair with KQ and it was good. After about 15 minutes of playing I was up $250. Not a bad start.

About a half an hour later I raised a $10 straddle to $40 with AJ of diamonds and got 4 callers. The flop came down KQ4 with two diamonds! With a nut flush draw and a straight draw, a pot that was already $160 and facing medium sized stacks, I figured I was probably either going to win the pot or double someone up because I sure as shit wasn't going anywhere. I fired out $110 and got called by the button. Mentally I called "Ten! Ten! Ten! Put a ten out there!" I got a 5 of diamonds which was almost as good. I had the nuts, but now the board looked pretty scary. My opponent was aggressive so I decided to check and he obliged by betting $220! He had another $340 in his stack and I had him covered.

At this point my heart was really racing. I noticed that I had what I'm sure was a really uncomfortable look on my face and I decided to go with it. I went into full on acting mode, trying to look uncomfortable without making it look like I was trying to look uncomfortable. I looked at my opponent like I was trying to put a read on him when all I was doing was thinking, "Sweet lord, don't pair the effing board on the river!"

After 30 seconds I gave him one last look and shoved all my chips in the pot. Some people seem to like to throw in one chip and practically whisper "all in" but I'm old school in that way. I shove them all in there baby! My opponent said "Nice hand" and threw one chip in to signify a call. The river was a total disaster - it paired the Q. KQ or a set were two hands I could easily be up against. I showed my flush and my opponent picked up his cards to turn them over - a sure sign of doom - but instead of rolling them all the way over, he looked at them one more time and pitched them into the muck. There was almost $1,400 in that pot!

I had a couple of speed bumps running AQ into AA and losing $90 and dropping $50 with TT vs AK - which was really minimal damage - then I got back to the draws.

I raised to 20 with Q9 suited and got two calls. The flop came down J J T which is a really scary board, but I fired out $40 with my straight draw anyway. I got one call and the turn came out an 8! My opponent only had $90 left so I figured I'd check and he's probably just ship it in there no matter what he had. But he checked it back. The river was a 5 and I put him all in for $90. He snap called and didn't show, but his demeanor led me to think he may have had a J.

Not only did I hit all three draws to this point, I got them all on the turn which ensured that I wouldn't get blown off the draw and allowed me to focus on making the maximum.

A little later I got dealt 22 again and I thought "I bet I'm going to flop another set of deuces. I'm just going to run hot as shit all night here." Of course the chances were still the same 7.5 to 1 against me that I'd flop a set, but I did have that feeling. I called a raise to $20, we took the flop 3 way and it came out 7 6 2! Ha! There were two diamonds out there which meant it a draw heavy board and the preflop raiser bet out $40. My opponent was a thinking player and I figured if I raised he wouldn't know if I had a draw, a 7, an overpair or something else so I made it $100 to go. After some thought he called. The turn was a terrible card for me - the 5 of diamonds. I wasn't really worried about not having the best hand, but since all the draws got there it would be hard to get action. My opponent checked and I bet out $110 hoping to get called by a diamond, but my opponent quickly folded.

My next hand of note came when I raised to $20 with QQ and got two callers. The flop came down J 9 4, I bet out $40 and the player in the big blind called me. The turn was a T and my opponent checked again. This was an interesting card because it completed some draws and made a lot of reasonable two pair combos. It also gave me a straight draw.  My opponent was a tightish solid player and I figured I'd have better chance to get paid off on the river after having checking the turn. I checked and the river came out a Q. Now the board was J 9 4 T Q meaning an 8 or a K made a straight, but I could beat everything else. My opponent fired out $55 and I thought for about 20 seconds before calling. He showed 99! I really dodged a bullet there!

A little later I called $15 3 way with J9 of diamonds. The flop came out K Q T with two diamonds and I thought "OK, this is getting kind of ridiculous." How do you best play a flopped straight with a 2nd nut flush redraw? It really doesn't come up all that often! I probably should have just bet out as any raising hand would have a piece of this and no one in their right mind would put me on a straight after I bet out, but I went with the more standard line and check called $40. The turn was a T and I checked again. My opponent bet $75 and I really blew it by just calling. I continued to blow it by checking the river and having my opponent check back. In the moment I felt like he liked his hand and was going to keep firing on through, but a small check raise on the turn and a smallish bet on the river would have been much better. My suspicion is that he had a hand like AK or KJ and figured I either had a busted draw and wasn't calling or had him beat.

OK, I didn't actually make all the draws. My one miss came when I called $20 in the big blind 5 way with K6 of spades. The board came out K 7 3 with two spades giving me top pair an a flush draw and the preflop raiser who was a total nut bet out $60. Based on other hands I'd seen him play he could easily have had any pocket pair or a 7 or be on total air. He only had $140 left so if he was willing, we were going to get it all in. The only thing I needed to decide was if it would be better to just ship it on the flop or wait for the turn. I figured if I moved in he might fold a 7 or a pocket pair, but if I made a reluctant call on the flop he'd shove on almost any turn card (as was his pattern up to that point). The turn was a red 8 and like clock work, I checked, he moved all in a millisecond later, and I called almost as quickly. The river was a red ten and unfortunately I lost to KJ. Boo!

Those were all the big hands. I think I could have done a bit better getting value with my made hands and I'd give my self a C+ in that arena, but I had my A game working when it came to staying out of trouble. I lost the minimum on probably 10 hands that were all fairly inconsequential, but in aggregate saved me a few hundred bucks.

In the end I booked a $1,094 win over 4 hours. That has me back in black for the project. Overall I'm winning $468 after 46.5 hours.

I'm going to make a rare Wednesday afternoon plus evening appearance at the Oaks tomorrow. My tentative plan is to put in 4 hours of cash game work and then play the Wednesday night tournament. The tournament is a $185 buy in with the option to re-enter if you go broke in the first 4 levels. I think there are usually 40 or 50 entrants and my plan is to fire two $185 bullets at it if needed.

I hope I keep making all the draws!

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Project Manhattan Session #11 - Too Much Pressure or Something Else?

It's been almost 3 weeks since I played session #11 so the details are a little fuzzy, but here are the highlights!

After a little downturn recently, I have to say I was feeling the pressure when I sat down. It wasn't like a major weight on my shoulders, but more like a minor buzzing in the background.

The first three hours of the session were pretty tame and I found myself $150 to the good, The 4th hour, however, had quite a few big hands. On the first two hands of note I had QQ and in both got into it with a highly aggressive professional player.

On the first Mr. Aggressive and another player called $5 and I raised it to $25. The flop came down Q 5 2 rainbow giving me top set. Zing! This seemed like a good spot to slow play as there were no draws and I was up against a player who I was pretty sure would bet the turn. It checked around and the turn came out an 8. Sure enough Mr. Aggressive bet out $25 and the other guy called. I decided to just call again. This is a little questionable, but I thought that $25 was a bluff so why take him off it? The river was a J and Mr. Aggressive bet out $30 with about $170 left in his stack. The other guy folded and I put him all in. To my shock and horror he folded J8 (two pair) face up! ACK! I should have gotten paid off on that one. Mental note: Bluff this guy more.

On the next one I had QQ again, and Mr. Aggressive (who by this point had reloaded and had a $450 stack) called $5 after two other $5 calls. I made it $35 to go, everyone folded back to Mr. Aggressive and he made it $110. This looked like a hand like 88. I figured any hand I had to worry about, namely AA, KK or AK, would certainly have raised a couple of limpers, so I put him all in for $450. He called pretty quickly, I showed him my QQ, he said "I can beat that" and showed me QQ also! Nothing crazy happened and we chopped the pot.

Things went south in a hurry from there.

I got dealt AT with the T of spades and raised one $5 limper to $25. Both blinds and the limper called and the flop came down J 9 3 all spades. It checked to me and I bet $70 into the $100 pot. This was a bad idea. There was no reason to bet into 3 players on a wet board. Both blinds called and the turn came out the 7 of spades. Now the big blind came out betting $100 into the $340 pot. The big blind was a woman I've played with many times and she's really tricky. She could easily be bluffing in this spot, so I called. The river was a J and she bet $100 again. Now I was looking at $540 out there. All I could beat was a bluff, and this looked much more like a value bet. I would have folded for more, but I kind of got sucked in by the cheapness of it. I lost to A8 of spades! Ack!

I was still winning a little over $100, but I was feeling like I really blew it on that hand. If I'd just checked the flop I would have saved myself a lot of trouble. Or if I just dumped it on the turn there's no way that would have been a big mistake. More than the result or the fact that I misplayed it the fact that I was really second guessing myself, was not a good sign.

Around that time I got involved with a guy who looked about 25, was drinking a beer, and was asking questions like he'd played some before but never at the Oaks. There was one hand where after heavy preflop action he called an all in bet of about $400 into a $400 pot on a 6 3 2 flop. The board ran out Q A, he lost to 88 and didn't show. He must have called a preflop raise that went from $25 to $125 with either 77, 55 or 44 and then just called it off on the flop. The point is he was pretty loose if not totally on meltdown tilt. After that hand he ran off, got some money and bought back in for $500.

On his first hand back he straddled, I raised it to $40 with AJ of spades, a total goof ball called and Mr. 25 made it $140 to go. I wasn't really sure if he had a legit three bet hand or was on tilt. He wasn't visibly losing his shit, but he'd just made a titly call and lost in a way that would be likely to make him more tilty. I thought about moving all in, but decided to see the flop and go from there. Mr. Goofball called also and the flop came down T 9 6 with one spade. Mr. 25 bet out $100 into the $420 pot. Immediately I thought "He missed." He had $260 left and I had him covered. After some additional thought I decided that he had AK and had made a legit 3 bet preflop, but didn't know what to do when he missed and just stuck $100 out there. I decided to go for it and put him all in. Mr. Goofball quickly folded and after about 2 seconds Mr. 25 called. The board bricked out and I said "I missed." He just sat there, so I rolled over my AJ and he showed me AK! Son of a bitch! I can't believe he practically snap called me on the flop with no pair. I would not have been crazy to just dump that AJ preflop.

About two hands later I got dealt KK, raised to $25, had a short stack move all in for $125 with ATs and make a runner runner flush on me. Those last 3 hands happened over the course of about 15 minutes and I went from up $400 or so to down a little over $500. Normally you wouldn't want to leave a game where there's a dude who you know is going to pay you off who has $1,100 in front of him, but I'm not a robot and I was in no mental state to play well after those three hands. Sometimes you have to know when enough is enough.

I lost $510 over 4 hours. I'm losing $626 over 42.5 hours for the project as a whole. Boo!

After a 3 week layoff I'll be back in action Friday night.

My WSOP 2023 Plans and Missions

After four and a half years working for StubHub I wrapped up my time there in March. I've been at the poker tables 3-4 days a week since...