Saturday, May 27, 2023

My WSOP 2023 Plans and Missions



After four and a half years working for StubHub I wrapped up my time there in March. I've been at the poker tables 3-4 days a week since and am going to take this unique opportunity of being between jobs at WSOP time to go huge (for me). I have plans to fire more bullets at the WSOP this summer than ever before. In 2006 I played 10 events. In those days it was pretty much one event per day every day at noon with no re-entries. 

Here is what I plan to play this year:

  • $1K Mystery Bounty (Flights A, B, and C with 2 bullets per flight)
  • $1,500 Monster Stack (Flight A and B)
  • $800 Deepstack (2 bullets)
  • $3K No Limit Hold'em (Maybe)
  • $500 No Limit Hold'em
  • $1,500 HORSE
  • $1,500 Turbo Bounty
  • $1,000 Tag Team
  • $1,500 Millionaire Maker (Flight A and B with 2 bullets each)

With this fat schedule in front of me I've been thinking about some missions that are outside of just win a bunch of money or make a final table (which I've decided to never give up on until I do it). Here are some that come to mind:

1) Draw a mystery bounty envelope
2) Have a 100K chip in my stack (I've had 25K chips)
3) 3+ cashes in the same year (I had 2 cashes in 2010 and 1 each in 2005, 2006, 2008, 2009 and 2018)
4) Finish in the top 1% in a WSOP event
5) Cash for a $10K profit in a single event (my record is riddled with just better than min cashes so $6,449 for 28th place in the 2009 $3K HORSE is my best result)

I'll be making 2 trips with the first being squarely centered around the Mystery Bounty where I plan to knock out 4 of 5 of the above.

In the Mystery Bounty, we start with 40,000 chips, blinds 100/200/200 and re-entry is possible through 12 levels although level 12 is the 3,000 big blind level so I might hesitate to re-enter that late. It will be 30 minute levels and each Day 1 is 22 levels long. By the end of Day 1 the big blind will be 30,000 so 3/4 of a starting stack. 

Of each $1K entry $77 goes to fees, $33 goes to dealer tips, $300 to the bounties and $590 to the prize pool. Last year the top 14% made the money with the min cash being just over $1,000. Payouts related to the $590 will start on Day 1. Eliminations on Day 1 aren't worth anything, but every elimination on Day 2 is worth a bounty.

At first glance at the structure I was thinking maybe 3% of the field would make day 2, but I've seen some indications that the smallest bounty will be $10,000. Meaning eliminating any player on Day 2 is worth at least $10K. 

I'm now thinking it's probably more like 1% of the field makes day 2 which would be $30K in bounty value for each player. Last year with 14,000+ entrants they had 50 bounties of $25K+ with a $1M, a $500K, a $250K and 3 of $100K along with an unclear number of other bounties.

In theory I could make the money, but not make day 2 and re-enter the next day 1 flight.

This article has a detailed recap of last year.

I will probably be terrible about updating the blog with my progress, unless I do really well. :)


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My WSOP 2023 Plans and Missions

After four and a half years working for StubHub I wrapped up my time there in March. I've been at the poker tables 3-4 days a week since...